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Gary M. Galles - Contributor

Mr. Galles is a professor of economics at Pepperdine University. [go to Galles index]


Maybe We Want To Be Bad At Math
Avoiding reality…
[Gary M. Galles] 1/6/05

A major international comparison using 2003 data is the latest in a long line to conclude that Americans’ mathematics mastery is inadequate. The Program for International Student Assessment found that for 15 year-olds, “U.S. performance in mathematics literacy and problem solving was lower than the average performance in most OECD countries. The United States also performed below the OECD average on each mathematics literacy subscale representing a specific content area.”

If form holds, this will divide students, parents, teachers and administrators into camps who blame each other. However, what is unclear is whether all the finger-pointing ---indicates a real desire to overcome our innumeracy. The fact that we frequently use mathematics to intentionally fool ourselves and others argues against that conclusion--. When we systematically abuse numbers to distort reality, it is no surprise that we handle mathematics poorly.

One of today's most obvious misleading number games is grade inflation. Teachers have accommodated student desires for higher grades to the point that the median GPA of graduating seniors has risen about a full grade point since it was about 2.2 in 1965. At some elite schools almost everyone gets As and Bs today, and who is valedictorian has become -how many 4.0 students will share that title.

High schools have gone even further, making it possible to get better than a 4.0. Many make advanced placement or community college courses worth an extra grade point. These and other policies (e.g., statewide comparisons crafted to show that, as in Lake Woebegone, all children are above normal) have, however, thrown away much of the useful information grades once contained-.

Price inflation is another form of ego-building by manipulating comparison numbers. If I want to brag that I make more than my father ever did, the effects of inflation can over-whelm every other difference and make it so. On the other hand, older Americans use it to prove how much better things used to be- (I remember when bread was a nickel...).

Competitive inflation also occurs in other dimensions. We regularly cheat on the new in “new and improved.” Books and new car models come out well before the year starts- (you can already buy used 2005 cars). Magazines arrive with dates two weeks into the fu-ture. - -

Statistics and percentages are subject to the same abuse. “Giving it 100%” was once going all out, but that has been replaced with giving it 150%, 200%, and even 1000%. I’m 1000000% sure there is something wrong with this inflated hyperbole. Similarly, statistics are routinely manipulated to make insignificant changes look signifi-cant. Instead of saying some drug increas-es the probability of some cancer from -0.00001 to -0.00002, reports scream that it doubles your risk.

We cheat on clothing sizes. Adults want to feel be thinner, so what was a given size dress years ago is now a smaller size. Parents, however, want their children to be “ahead of the curve," so some companies cut infant sizes smaller, so everybody can have children that are ahead of their peers.

Everywhere you turn, people “cheat” to make today's results look better than yesterday’s. This is particularly true in competi-tive sports, where we often judge quality by numbers (e.g., baseball statistics). We have changed rules to favor the offense in sports, so that more points get scored. -We have tuned track surfaces with steel springs to make sprint-ers faster and have designed more flexible poles so pole-vaulters go higher.

It is time we were honest with ourselves about our innumeracy. While we understand that better mathematics skills are important and that we would like to handle numbers more deftly, most of us are unwilling to put in the time and effort to do so. And in many cases we simply do not want to “do it right,” because that would force us to trade in some of the self-delusions we want to keep for the reality we are often desperate to deny. tOR

copyright 2004 Gary M. Galles

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